ACCOUNT RISK · T02
Drawdown recovery & losing-streak planner
Project full losses under a fixed or fractional risk policy, then measure the recovery burden and the first account-equity stop threshold.Calculated locally in this browser. Inputs are not saved or transmitted.T02 / FIXED
Loss-path decision view
Deterministic trajectory
Each row applies one full loss. Fractional mode recalculates the next loss from the remaining equity.
| Loss # | Starting equity | Loss amount | Ending equity | Drawdown | Recovery return |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | $45,000.00 | -$450.00 | $44,550.00 | 10.9% | 12.23% |
| 2 | $44,550.00 | -$450.00 | $44,100.00 | 11.8% | 13.38% |
| 3 | $44,100.00 | -$450.00 | $43,650.00 | 12.7% | 14.55% |
| 4 | $43,650.00 | -$450.00 | $43,200.00 | 13.6% | 15.74% |
| 5 | $43,200.00 | -$450.00 | $42,750.00 | 14.5% | 16.96% |
| 6 | $42,750.00 | -$450.00 | $42,300.00 | 15.4% | 18.2% |
| 7 | $42,300.00 | -$450.00 | $41,850.00 | 16.3% | 19.47% |
| 8 | $41,850.00 | -$450.00 | $41,400.00 | 17.2% | 20.77% |
| 9 | $41,400.00 | -$450.00 | $40,950.00 | 18.1% | 22.1% |
| 10 | $40,950.00 | -$450.00 | $40,500.00 | 19% | 23.46% |
02 / DECISION
What this plan decides
The same current drawdown can lead to different future account paths. Compare the policy that fixes the monetary loss with the policy that recalculates risk from remaining equity.Scope and limitations
- All monetary amounts are USD in this first public version.
- Every projected trade realizes one full configured loss; wins and trade order are not modeled.
- The trajectory excludes gaps, fees, slippage, and Monte Carlo probabilities.
- This is a deterministic stress plan, not a forecast of a future losing streak.
Method and sources
Recovery uses the arithmetic relationship between a loss from peak and the return needed on the remaining equity. Risk-policy context follows these educational references.
- The 2% RuleCME Group
Illustrates percentage risk as part of a predefined loss policy rather than a return promise.
- Risk Management and Your Trade PlanCME Group
Places per-trade, daily, and account-level loss limits inside a wider trade plan.